Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.000539 0.000617 0.000701 0.000796 0.000901 0.001014 0.001143
2025-07-13 0.000428 0.000537 0.000662 0.000814 0.000993 0.001196 0.001440
2025-07-20 0.000368 0.000492 0.000640 0.000827 0.001056 0.001325 0.001660
2025-07-27 0.000313 0.000443 0.000606 0.000820 0.001091 0.001417 0.001837
2025-08-03 0.000268 0.000401 0.000574 0.000808 0.001113 0.001491 0.001988
2025-08-10 0.000240 0.000377 0.000560 0.000817 0.001159 0.001594 0.002177
2025-08-17 0.000214 0.000351 0.000541 0.000816 0.001191 0.001677 0.002341
2025-08-24 0.000183 0.000317 0.000508 0.000791 0.001189 0.001713 0.002443
2025-08-31 0.000158 0.000287 0.000478 0.000769 0.001186 0.001748 0.002543
2025-09-07 0.000142 0.000269 0.000463 0.000766 0.001210 0.001817 0.002689
2025-09-14 0.000128 0.000253 0.000450 0.000765 0.001235 0.001888 0.002838
2025-09-21 0.000114 0.000235 0.000432 0.000755 0.001246 0.001939 0.002961
2025-09-28 0.000100 0.000216 0.000412 0.000740 0.001249 0.001979 0.003070
2025-10-05 0.000094 0.000211 0.000413 0.000759 0.001304 0.002095 0.003289
2025-10-12 0.000087 0.000204 0.000410 0.000770 0.001347 0.002194 0.003487
2025-10-19 0.000078 0.000191 0.000397 0.000764 0.001361 0.002252 0.003625
2025-10-26 0.000069 0.000178 0.000381 0.000752 0.001367 0.002296 0.003744
2025-11-02 0.000064 0.000171 0.000377 0.000760 0.001404 0.002387 0.003934
2025-11-09 0.000058 0.000163 0.000369 0.000760 0.001426 0.002457 0.004092
2025-11-16 0.000050 0.000148 0.000348 0.000736 0.001410 0.002466 0.004161
2025-11-23 0.000043 0.000136 0.000330 0.000715 0.001397 0.002479 0.004233
2025-11-30 0.000039 0.000128 0.000322 0.000712 0.001414 0.002539 0.004379
2025-12-07 0.000036 0.000122 0.000315 0.000711 0.001433 0.002603 0.004533